Carl Sagan scientist, author, and revolutionary possessor of new perspectives... wrote the book The Demon Haunted World. I have greatly enjoyed his list of "baloney detectors" that are found on page 210. I believe you will find them amusing, and perhaps, thought provoking as well!
The Fine Art of Baloney Detection
“What skeptical thinking boils down to is the means to construct and to understand, a reasoned argument and - especially important - to recognize a fallacious or fraudulent argument. The question is not whether we like the conclusion that emerges out of a train of reasoning, but whether the conclusion follows from the premise or starting point and whether that premise is true.”
Among the tools he suggests:
- Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the “facts.”
- Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
- Arguments from authority carry little weight - “authorities” have made mistakes in the past. They will do so again in the future. Perhaps it is better to say that in science there are no authorities; at most, there are experts.
- Spin more than one hypothesis. If there's something to explained, think of all the different ways in which it could be explained. Then think of tests by which you might systematically disprove each of the alternative. What survives, the hypothesis that resists disproof in this Darwinian selection among “multiple working hypotheses,” has a much better chance of being the right answer than if you had simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
- Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it’s yours. It’s only a way station in the pursuit of knowledge. Ask yourself why you like the idea. Compare it fairly with the alternatives. See if you can find reasons for rejecting it. If you don’t, others will.
- Quantify. If whatever it is you're explaining has some measure, some numerical quantity attached to it, you’ll be much better able to discriminate among competing hypotheses.
- If there’s a chain of argument, every link in the chain must work (including the premise) - not just most of them.
- Occam’s Razor. This convenient rule of thumb urges us when faced with two hypotheses that explain the data equally well, to choose the simpler.
First of all I am not a geneticist, but a student of genetics, life, and learning. I follow very much the eight suggestions above of Baloney Detection and often find I am the one with the baloney! With this in mind, please note that while the following is my understanding and philosophy, it may be revised and revisited at any time! I am always open to correction and better ways of stating the ideas.
Creating a breed, the choices we make
Human intervention begins when a decision is made to put two cats together and create babies. One could say, putting two cats together allows nature to do what comes naturally, however nature bases selection on survival of a species, not on how it "looks". The moment selection is based on appearance; the genetic selection has been changed.
When genes are combined to enhance appearance through human perception, "engineered" versus"nature selection," the responsibility of outcome shifts, The selection changesfrom nature, to human. This requires awareness of consequences and responsibility for the decision made. Before proceeding ask:
- Why are these two cats being put together?
- What is my intent?
- Am I willing to be responsible for the consequences of this combination?
- What are the criteria for selection?
Selection of breeding pedigreed cats are (should be) based on three attributes:
To be recognized by a cat association, one of the criteria is to have distinct breed characteristics passed from parent to progeny. Consistent replication requires cats homozygous1 for those characteristics. Simply put, homozygous is “like breeds like” and the breed breeds true.
The Bengal cat has a broad gene base, combining non-domestic source ancestors and domestic genes. The broadness of the base has positive and negative aspects. Many domestic breeds have a narrow genetic base due to unnatural selection of breeding mates, the human factor narrowing the appearance genes, this also limits the gene base for health. Sometimes, to lock in a particular look, humans select cats that produce health problems, structure abnormalities, internal problems, and immune system suppression. The good news is Bengal cats have a broad base giving selection for health and temperament. The bad news is there is a broad gene base, giving a wide range in the overall appearance. This diversity in outcome of breeding means it does not breed true.
How to breed true and not sacrifice health and temperament?
This is an important question facing the cat fancy today. The reason people select pedigreed cats as pets, is to have a record of health and temperament coming from the parents as well as the appearance of the individual breed. As breeders, this needs to be our most important focus... to breed temperament and health for life long companionship and care; as well as, creating beauty. To do this several things must take place.
- honest evaluation of cats for breeding programs
- open exchange of genetic issues both positive and negative of the breeding cats
- disclosure of genetic problems when found
- accurate record keeping
Cat shows are designed to evaluate breeding stock and vigor. They should not be "just another pretty face" but an evaluation of the cats with the most desirable traits to pass on to their progeny. While this is the ideal scenario, it often falls short because some genetic information is not in the phenotype of the cat. This information only becomes apparent when bred and often not in the offspring but in the grandchildren. DNA testing may soon be the means to get a more complete selection model in breeding. Cat shows allow a view of the overall breed as well as a forum to openly exchange information not only on a particular breed but all breeds.
Open exchange of information is being made more possible through publications and the Internet. As information is collected and exchanged, we become better able to share knowledge and seek solutions. This is vital to the cat fancy.
While one would hope that disclosure is a given... it is not. It begins with disclosing what might be carried in a line as far as color is concerned, then structure, and then the potential problems noted in the progeny. Remember as well, it is often not the first generation but the grandchildren of a line that exhibit the traits. It is important to keep records of progeny so patterns are seen. Disclosure will allow the breed as a whole to move ahead. There is no forum for this at the present time.
Back to the original question of: How to breed true and not sacrifice health and temperament? It is possible. A classic example of a very homozygous species is given to us in the cheetah. Cheetahs are extremely homozygous, studies of transplants have shown that there is little problem with rejection in the cheetah. So how does a breed progress by becoming more homozygous and not loose its genetic vigor?
It is helpful to go back to essential genetic knowledge and work from the point of what is known or at least not proven false. What is known about inheritance of a certain attribute? Perhaps a better way to ask: What hypothesis 2 is followed? Most of cat genetics are hypothetical, though record keeping and compiling information clarifies, it also brings to light deeper questions. The non-domestic genes bring new elements to the domestic genes and have skewed the knowledge base... greatly!
So what are desirable Bengal cat attributes?
• People friendly temperament
• Appearance of a non-domestic
High contrast of pattern to background
Rounded ears (interpretation of small to medium)
Definite delineation of whisker pads
Bold, highly contrasted facial markings
There are other areas to delineate, but this will give a point of discussion.
The Bengal cat has evolved since first registered in 1983 by Jean Mill. The people of vision, who allowed the breed to move from the realm of "exotic curiosity" to that of the show halls with other domestic, brought us to today. Controversy bonds, strong opinions are stated at times in heated discussions and the compromises demanded of resolving issues and moving forward divide. One of the main areas is that of genetic diversity. The debate centers on:
• The diverse appearance of the Bengal cat, noted in body type, head type, and coat type. Showing great genetic diversity and little agreement on how to narrow the scope.
• The continued out crossing to the Asian leopard cat. Thus keeping the Bengal cat from becoming a stable domestic breed.
We are extremely heterozygous.
The new standards should point to making the Bengal cat more homozygous. To be more consistent in type as well as coat the Bengal cat breeders will vote to define the look they are breeding toward as "perfection." This is quite a challenge, and requires compromise. It is also an essential process to help breeders in the selection of breeding cats.
When defining the standard, a 100 point system that is divided on point values on head, body, and coat. Depending on the phrasing and the accounting of the points, a cat is defined. Because the size difference in cats is minimum as compared to dogs, the differences between breeds must be clearly worded so that it is not taken to an extreme. Quite a challenge.
How to proceed?
The following is for each breeder to use as a means of evaluation of their cats and the breed in general.
- Select the ideal. Even this is controversial with many looks to the Asian leopard cat and many breeders wanting to go with a larger cat and have it look more like a leopard or jaguar. But each of us can consciously select our ideal...
- Realize what is lacking. This is the point of departure… it is not unusual for breeders to become “cattery blind.” Cattery blind thinking goes something like “if you do not agree with my assessment you are an ignorant fool.” (If you hear this sort of dialogue going on in your head… reevaluate your position!) There are check and balance ways to do this:
- Cat shows… you take the best example to judges, who look at the standard and evaluate your cat on a 100-point scale. In reality, you are not competing against the other Bengal cats; you are evaluated on the judge’s individual interpretation of the stated ideal (standard) prototype of the breed. Now, an interesting point is that this is done with written standards, not through photos. If done through photos you have a completely different sort of comparison… and an interesting change in the dynamic.
- Another way of identifying what is missing is to evaluate each breeding cat. You can do this several ways, a method I use is to make my top priority list, I have learned if I try to do everything at once it only leads to mass confusion and becomes difficult to track. So, because it is my particular favorite thing, I am going to put temperament as my selection criteria as an example of "how to breed and select for a particular trait."
- Set a main hypothesis. Mine is. “Breeding cats that seek to be around humans will produce cats wanting to be around humans.”
- Decide how to evaluate this hypothesis. Use criteria that allow a scientific method. In this scenario a scale of 1-10 is used to allow evaluation of the cats and kittens.
Evaluation for Temperament
Noise: 10 was a kitten that did not respond to sharp loud noises other than to briefly be on alert to 1 which was a kitten that hid when I entered a room and would not come out at all.
Noise evaluation... 10 being the least response and 1 being extreme
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
- Approachability: 1 point for running if approached, hides, and will not come out… 10 approaches an extended hand with no hesitation. I evaluated: strangers… children, adult… evaluated position of people… talking loud, making a lot of gestures, to sitting and playing with toys of interest to them.
Main Care Taker: Approachability: 10 approaches extended hand, 1 flees
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Family Member: Approachability: 10 approaches extended hand, 1 flees
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Loud Stranger: Approachability: 10 approaches extended hand, 1 flees
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Children: Approachability: 10 approaches extended hand, 1 flees
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
- Another consideration was the scoop able test… if I reached down and scooped them updid they immediately want to be put down or wait for me to place them.
"scoop able" test... 10 easily scooped up and held in arms no squirming, 1 wanted nothing to do with being held. (again, varies with individuals... main care taker, stranger, etc.)
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
By noting the score, that is being very conscious of the individual kitten and how it was reacting, evaluating the kitten, it became clear what to begin selecting for in the kittens and in the parents. It is all a matter of being conscious of what selection is based on... be aware.
The three generation model of selective breeding
The general accepted rule in genetics is that it takes three generations of selectively breeding for a trait to see it in place. Three generations of breeding before the genetics are stable (homozygous) enough to be reproduced. This is based on the assumption that we breed selectively. In order to work with selective breeding it follows a 3-generation rule. You do not know what a particular line carries until you have the third generation… The Bengal cat is unfolding so quickly that we do not do this often… as a rule we are using young unproven cats and genetics. I will show the model that is used to determine and create some homozygous individuals.
The model I use is one found in the Book of the Cat, by Michael Wright (page21). He uses the example of simple color genetics involving the dominant full density (D = full density) to the recessive blue. (d = dilute). This trait is located on a particular locus in the chromosomes. This example shows how to breed for a recessive trait making it homozygous. Since the dilute gene does exist in the Bengal cat breed coming from the domestic genes, it is something that most breeders are working to breed out.
• Full density= D-
(the - indicates an unknown, but for this purpose we are going to use homozygous density of D)
• dilute density= dd
This is the PARENT GENERATION: P
Full density parent
dilute parent dd
The full density parent can only give full density if homozygous. DD The dilute genes since it is also homozygous. dd
Each kittenreceives a full density gene (D) via the egg or sperm from one parent and a dilute gene (d) from the other. Because full density is dominant to dilute the result is a litter of heterozygous density kittens and they are all appearing to be full density. They are symbolized Dd.
The starting point in any breeding program is called the parental or P generation; the first generation offspring are known as F1or first filial generation. (The confusion of F generation that comes from the Asian leopard cat crosses is not being referred to here... we are now talking straight cat genetics, not Bengal cat jargon of F1)
F1or first filial generation
Each parent is
Crossing heterozygous full density cats from the F1generation to each other, results in far more possibilities in the F2 or second filial generation. Each parent may pass on either the dominant black or the recessive blue gene, these combine randomly to create : homozygous black kittens (DD), heterozygous black kittens (Dd) and homozygous dilute kittens (dd) . The four possible combinations of eggs and sperm are all equally likely, and this is why, on average there will be three full density appearing offspring to one dilute blue.
• phenotype is: 3:1 ratio appears to be the same as in the phenotype... thus three full color in appearance to one dilute.
• genotype is 1:2:1 ratio
The only way to KNOW which is the genotype homozygous out of the three that appear in the phenotype to be the same... is to breed the phenotype homozygous to the homozygous dilute and test breed or do DNA testing that is available for feline color testing(see note at bottom) The DNA testing is the way to quickly remove unwanted colors from breeding programs.
Back crossing BC
Back-crossing a heterozygous dilute cat from the F1 generation to its homozygous recessive dilute parent (P) Reveals the recessives in the back-cross or BC generation. The heterozygous dilute cat can pass on either the full density or the dilute gene, but the dilute parent can pass on only the recessive dilute gene. Therefore the offspring can only be homozygous dilute (blue) or heterozygous density, like their parents. On average, as the diagram shows, they will appear in equal numbers. Back-crossing of this type has practical application for breeders in determining an individual’s genotype. (The above is from page 21 in The Book of the Cat.)
In this case the ration for the phenotype and the genotype
• 2:2 :
If the BC was of the homozygous DD offspring to the homozygous dilute dd parent, all the off spring would be phenotypically full density, but in actuality be heterozygous. But there would be NO dilutes to ever be produced by such a mating. Because of random assortment of genes, the only way to be sure or moderately sure that the full density phenotype cat was indeed a homozygous one, is to have 9 offspring from this crossing. Then one can be moderately sure, but there is a saying in feline genetics quoted from Don Shaw, a TICA judge and geneticist, "Recessives are forever." Thus when a recessive is introduced, do so with great care! (note: The color/pattern genetics that can now be tested are: A, B, C, D, E, and more are on the way!
The is the model for a simple recessive.
Using this same model on other genetics: color, ears, temperament, whited bellies… allows for better selection of breeding cats. The most important aspect of selection and following these models is for health! Note: many of the genetics are polygenetic so do not follow as simple a pattern… there are many other influencing factors. However, this model is quite helpful in record keeping and in learning the basics of inheritance.
The following terms are used often:
- Genotype: The set of genes an individual inherits from its parents.
- Heterozygous: Having a pair of dissimilar alleles, one from each parent, for a particular characteristic.
- Homozygous: Having an identical pair of alleles for a particular characteristic.
- Hypothesis: an assumption made in order to test its logical or empirical consequence.
- Phenotype: An individual’s actual physical characteristics – size, shape, eye color, hair length and so on – representing the physical expression of its genotype.
- Random assortment: The set of genes given from a parent are done so randomly. Thus a litter of kittens may exhibit only one of the genes carried by the parent and not another, thus recessives do not always reveal themselves.
Where DNA Testing can be done: I use UC Davis, but know of others that use Texas A&M, Langford Lab in the UK, Stanford University.